NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MILW RMU
Points 82.1 76.3
Total Points   158.5
Points From 2-Pointers 42.7 34.4
Points From 3-Pointers 20.6 28.9
Points From Free Throws 18.8 13.0
Shooting MILW RMU
Field Goals Made 28.2 26.8
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 65.7
Field Goal % 46.5% 40.8%
2 Pointers Made 21.4 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.5 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 28.6
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 18.8 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 25.5 18.7
Free Throw % 73.5% 69.8%
Ball Control MILW RMU
Rebounds 39.8 38.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 12.6 14.5
Turnovers 9.9 10.5
Blocked Shots 3.6 4.0
Steals 5.0 4.5
Fouls 14.0 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Rob Morris

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MILW RMU
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 76.3 77.7
% of Possessions with MILW RMU
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 31.9%
Player Fouled 22.8% 19.0%
Turnover 13.5% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MILW RMU
Shot Blocked 6.2% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 34.8% 34.8%