NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EIU SIUE
Points 68.3 71.2
Total Points   139.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.4 21.7
Points From Free Throws 14.0 14.6
Shooting EIU SIUE
Field Goals Made 24.1 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 55.6
Field Goal % 41.6% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 34.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.4% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 17.4 21.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 14.0 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 19.9
Free Throw % 73.7% 73.2%
Ball Control EIU SIUE
Rebounds 33.2 36.6
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 27.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 9.2
Turnovers 9.3 10.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.7
Steals 6.3 4.9
Fouls 15.7 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: SIU Edward

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EIU SIUE
Total Possessions 69.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 67.7
% of Possessions with EIU SIUE
2 Point Attempt 50.6% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 21.8% 26.8%
Player Fouled 19.7% 22.6%
Turnover 13.4% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken EIU SIUE
Shot Blocked 8.6% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.1% 27.2%