NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PV MVSU
Points 70.6 59.4
Total Points   130.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.9 32.6
Points From 3-Pointers 13.0 12.7
Points From Free Throws 17.7 14.1
Shooting PV MVSU
Field Goals Made 24.3 20.5
Field Goals Attempted 53.1 47.0
Field Goal % 45.7% 43.7%
2 Pointers Made 20.0 16.3
2 Pointers Attempted 40.4 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.5% 48.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.3 4.2
3 Pointers Attempted 12.7 13.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 17.7 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 25.1 21.3
Free Throw % 70.5% 66.0%
Ball Control PV MVSU
Rebounds 31.0 32.8
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 23.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 9.0
Turnovers 11.0 18.2
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.5
Steals 9.9 6.2
Fouls 16.9 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Prairie View

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PV MVSU
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 61.2
% of Possessions with PV MVSU
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 15.8% 16.4%
Player Fouled 24.6% 23.9%
Turnover 15.6% 25.8%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 14.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken PV MVSU
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 27.9% 29.2%