NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HP BC
Points 74.1 79.6
Total Points   153.7
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 43.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 21.0
Points From Free Throws 16.7 14.8
Shooting HP BC
Field Goals Made 24.8 28.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 59.8
Field Goal % 41.9% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 21.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.9 41.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 53.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 37.4%
Free Throws Made 16.7 14.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 19.9
Free Throw % 77.9% 74.4%
Ball Control HP BC
Rebounds 36.8 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 25.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.6 8.5
Turnovers 9.6 7.3
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.3
Steals 4.1 4.5
Fouls 15.7 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: High Point

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HP BC
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 71.5
% of Possessions with HP BC
2 Point Attempt 41.9% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 23.4%
Player Fouled 23.3% 22.4%
Turnover 13.6% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 5.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken HP BC
Shot Blocked 5.6% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 31.5% 25.2%