NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FIU FGCU
Points 69.1 73.7
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 31.7 36.0
Points From 3-Pointers 27.6 27.2
Points From Free Throws 9.9 10.5
Shooting FIU FGCU
Field Goals Made 25.0 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 55.1
Field Goal % 42.6% 49.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 34.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.7% 52.0%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 27.0 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 44.2%
Free Throws Made 9.9 10.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 15.4
Free Throw % 65.0% 68.1%
Ball Control FIU FGCU
Rebounds 29.1 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 20.3 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.7 10.3
Turnovers 10.8 15.1
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.2
Steals 9.0 5.9
Fouls 13.3 12.7

Playing Style Advantage: Florida Intl

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FIU FGCU
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 65.4
% of Possessions with FIU FGCU
2 Point Attempt 39.7% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 33.6% 25.0%
Player Fouled 18.1% 19.0%
Turnover 15.4% 21.5%
Opponent Steal 8.5% 12.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken FIU FGCU
Shot Blocked 6.0% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.9% 33.7%