NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HP CAMP
Points 83.7 70.9
Total Points   154.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.9 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 29.8 18.3
Points From Free Throws 14.9 15.9
Shooting HP CAMP
Field Goals Made 29.4 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 61.9 55.0
Field Goal % 47.5% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 58.2% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 9.9 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 28.5 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 14.9 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 22.2
Free Throw % 77.9% 71.6%
Ball Control HP CAMP
Rebounds 40.9 27.9
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 21.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.3 6.2
Turnovers 9.5 9.3
Blocked Shots 4.0 1.6
Steals 5.0 4.3
Fouls 17.1 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: Campbell

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HP CAMP
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 74.5 67.6
% of Possessions with HP CAMP
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 33.7% 22.5%
Player Fouled 22.3% 24.2%
Turnover 13.4% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken HP CAMP
Shot Blocked 3.1% 6.5%
Offensive Rebound 38.0% 18.4%