NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EIU MARQ
Points 57.8 87.1
Total Points   144.9
Points From 2-Pointers 30.6 44.7
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 28.6
Points From Free Throws 9.2 13.8
Shooting EIU MARQ
Field Goals Made 21.3 31.9
Field Goals Attempted 60.5 55.2
Field Goal % 35.2% 57.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 22.3
2 Pointers Attempted 40.5 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 37.8% 70.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 19.9 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 40.5%
Free Throws Made 9.2 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 12.5 20.1
Free Throw % 73.7% 68.8%
Ball Control EIU MARQ
Rebounds 29.5 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 19.6 30.4
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 7.5
Turnovers 11.8 9.9
Blocked Shots 2.4 5.0
Steals 5.9 6.6
Fouls 16.0 10.8

Playing Style Advantage: Marquette

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EIU MARQ
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 67.9 67.4
% of Possessions with EIU MARQ
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 30.1%
Player Fouled 15.4% 22.9%
Turnover 16.9% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken EIU MARQ
Shot Blocked 9.2% 4.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 27.6%