NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PV ARPB
Points 78.2 77.9
Total Points   156.1
Points From 2-Pointers 48.2 31.3
Points From 3-Pointers 14.2 26.8
Points From Free Throws 15.9 19.8
Shooting PV ARPB
Field Goals Made 28.8 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 61.8 50.5
Field Goal % 46.6% 48.7%
2 Pointers Made 24.1 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 45.4 27.4
2 Point Shooting % 53.1% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 16.4 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.7% 38.8%
Free Throws Made 15.9 19.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 26.3
Free Throw % 70.5% 75.0%
Ball Control PV ARPB
Rebounds 33.0 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 6.6
Turnovers 9.3 15.4
Blocked Shots 3.1 1.5
Steals 8.2 4.4
Fouls 18.6 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Prairie View

Expected Effect: +1.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PV ARPB
Total Possessions 75.3
Effective Scoring Chances 75.9 66.5
% of Possessions with PV ARPB
2 Point Attempt 52.8% 32.9%
3 Point Attempt 19.2% 27.8%
Player Fouled 22.9% 24.7%
Turnover 12.4% 20.4%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 10.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken PV ARPB
Shot Blocked 3.0% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 22.2%