NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EIU NIU
Points 68.2 73.2
Total Points   141.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 21.9
Points From Free Throws 13.9 16.4
Shooting EIU NIU
Field Goals Made 24.1 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 62.4 51.1
Field Goal % 38.6% 48.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 44.3 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 40.4% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 13.9 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 18.8 24.4
Free Throw % 73.7% 67.4%
Ball Control EIU NIU
Rebounds 33.5 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.7 29.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 8.3
Turnovers 8.2 12.5
Blocked Shots 2.6 5.3
Steals 7.3 3.6
Fouls 19.1 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: N Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EIU NIU
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 73.0 66.2
% of Possessions with EIU NIU
2 Point Attempt 53.1% 38.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.7% 25.8%
Player Fouled 18.7% 27.2%
Turnover 11.7% 17.8%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken EIU NIU
Shot Blocked 10.5% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 26.8% 26.8%