NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSU NE
Points 74.0 74.5
Total Points   148.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.9 41.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.6 17.9
Points From Free Throws 11.5 14.7
Shooting GSU NE
Field Goals Made 27.3 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 60.3 58.7
Field Goal % 45.3% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 20.9
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 56.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 21.6 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.4% 27.7%
Free Throws Made 11.5 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 20.0
Free Throw % 75.0% 73.5%
Ball Control GSU NE
Rebounds 31.6 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.5 26.7
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 11.3
Turnovers 8.7 9.6
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.6
Steals 4.8 5.0
Fouls 14.8 13.1

Playing Style Advantage: Northeastrn

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSU NE
Total Possessions 69.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 71.3
% of Possessions with GSU NE
2 Point Attempt 48.8% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 26.3%
Player Fouled 18.8% 21.2%
Turnover 12.5% 13.8%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken GSU NE
Shot Blocked 6.2% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.3% 32.4%