NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PV SDST
Points 63.3 82.2
Total Points   145.6
Points From 2-Pointers 36.6 40.8
Points From 3-Pointers 15.0 24.6
Points From Free Throws 11.7 16.9
Shooting PV SDST
Field Goals Made 23.3 28.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 50.8
Field Goal % 39.8% 56.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.3 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 42.5 30.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.1% 67.0%
3 Pointers Made 5.0 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 40.2%
Free Throws Made 11.7 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 23.1
Free Throw % 70.5% 73.3%
Ball Control PV SDST
Rebounds 26.0 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 18.4 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 7.4
Turnovers 10.8 14.1
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.1
Steals 8.8 5.4
Fouls 18.4 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: S Dakota St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PV SDST
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 65.1
% of Possessions with PV SDST
2 Point Attempt 52.7% 37.9%
3 Point Attempt 20.1% 25.3%
Player Fouled 19.7% 25.7%
Turnover 15.0% 19.7%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 12.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken PV SDST
Shot Blocked 6.2% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.0% 28.7%