NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSU USA
Points 80.9 77.6
Total Points   158.5
Points From 2-Pointers 46.3 39.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 22.8
Points From Free Throws 13.7 15.1
Shooting GSU USA
Field Goals Made 30.1 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 63.9 60.8
Field Goal % 47.1% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 23.1 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 41.4 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 55.9% 52.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 13.7 15.1
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 20.2
Free Throw % 75.0% 74.7%
Ball Control GSU USA
Rebounds 38.2 34.0
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 7.5
Turnovers 8.6 8.7
Blocked Shots 3.5 2.8
Steals 4.8 4.8
Fouls 14.9 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSU USA
Total Possessions 73.7
Effective Scoring Chances 74.9 72.5
% of Possessions with GSU USA
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 28.0%
Player Fouled 18.7% 20.2%
Turnover 11.6% 11.9%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken GSU USA
Shot Blocked 4.7% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 20.9%