NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MILW KU
Points 68.3 86.8
Total Points   155.1
Points From 2-Pointers 29.9 51.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.0 19.3
Points From Free Throws 14.4 16.0
Shooting MILW KU
Field Goals Made 23.0 32.2
Field Goals Attempted 62.4 62.0
Field Goal % 36.8% 51.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.0 25.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 43.7
2 Point Shooting % 40.7% 58.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.0 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 25.6 18.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.3% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 14.4 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 22.4
Free Throw % 73.5% 71.4%
Ball Control MILW KU
Rebounds 34.4 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 30.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 10.2
Turnovers 11.4 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.8 5.7
Steals 4.6 6.6
Fouls 15.9 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MILW KU
Total Possessions 74.1
Effective Scoring Chances 73.8 75.6
% of Possessions with MILW KU
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 51.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.3% 21.5%
Player Fouled 18.4% 21.4%
Turnover 15.3% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 6.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MILW KU
Shot Blocked 9.3% 4.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 30.3%