NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HP LONG
Points 79.6 72.4
Total Points   152.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.2 40.7
Points From 3-Pointers 25.0 14.0
Points From Free Throws 19.4 17.7
Shooting HP LONG
Field Goals Made 25.9 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 53.5 57.7
Field Goal % 48.5% 43.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.6 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 29.9 44.1
2 Point Shooting % 59.0% 46.2%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 4.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 13.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 19.4 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 25.8
Free Throw % 77.9% 68.6%
Ball Control HP LONG
Rebounds 35.1 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 21.1
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 11.8
Turnovers 11.2 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.1 1.9
Steals 4.7 5.1
Fouls 17.8 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Longwood

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HP LONG
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 73.4
% of Possessions with HP LONG
2 Point Attempt 36.8% 52.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 16.2%
Player Fouled 27.0% 25.1%
Turnover 15.8% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken HP LONG
Shot Blocked 3.4% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 31.4% 31.7%