NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PV TEX
Points 56.4 89.5
Total Points   145.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.7 49.8
Points From 3-Pointers 10.0 20.8
Points From Free Throws 13.7 18.9
Shooting PV TEX
Field Goals Made 19.7 31.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 53.3
Field Goal % 35.1% 59.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.4 24.9
2 Pointers Attempted 44.7 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 36.7% 69.5%
3 Pointers Made 3.3 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 11.4 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 39.7%
Free Throws Made 13.7 18.9
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 24.7
Free Throw % 70.5% 76.5%
Ball Control PV TEX
Rebounds 23.2 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 15.5 31.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 9.4
Turnovers 12.5 12.6
Blocked Shots 2.4 5.3
Steals 6.8 6.6
Fouls 17.5 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Texas

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PV TEX
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 68.9
% of Possessions with PV TEX
2 Point Attempt 54.6% 43.5%
3 Point Attempt 13.9% 21.2%
Player Fouled 22.6% 24.3%
Turnover 17.4% 17.5%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 9.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken PV TEX
Shot Blocked 10.0% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 37.9%