NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSU UTA
Points 75.0 82.0
Total Points   156.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 25.9
Points From Free Throws 16.0 20.6
Shooting GSU UTA
Field Goals Made 25.8 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.5 59.4
Field Goal % 42.0% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 17.7
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 31.9
2 Point Shooting % 46.5% 55.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 27.6
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 16.0 20.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 27.9
Free Throw % 75.0% 73.6%
Ball Control GSU UTA
Rebounds 33.4 42.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 29.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 13.2
Turnovers 10.0 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.0
Steals 4.9 5.5
Fouls 18.6 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Georgia St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSU UTA
Total Possessions 74.7
Effective Scoring Chances 74.0 77.0
% of Possessions with GSU UTA
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 35.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 31.0%
Player Fouled 22.8% 24.9%
Turnover 13.3% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken GSU UTA
Shot Blocked 6.9% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 24.3% 35.3%