NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FIU UTEP
Points 66.7 70.9
Total Points   137.6
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 35.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 18.3
Points From Free Throws 13.5 16.8
Shooting FIU UTEP
Field Goals Made 23.5 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 51.1 51.7
Field Goal % 46.0% 46.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 49.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 19.6 15.5
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 39.5%
Free Throws Made 13.5 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.8 24.7
Free Throw % 65.0% 68.0%
Ball Control FIU UTEP
Rebounds 28.8 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 20.3 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 11.7
Turnovers 18.0 18.2
Blocked Shots 4.6 2.4
Steals 9.9 10.4
Fouls 17.1 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Florida Intl

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FIU UTEP
Total Possessions 74.3
Effective Scoring Chances 64.8 67.8
% of Possessions with FIU UTEP
2 Point Attempt 37.6% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 23.4% 17.6%
Player Fouled 22.4% 23.0%
Turnover 24.2% 24.5%
Opponent Steal 14.0% 13.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken FIU UTEP
Shot Blocked 4.8% 9.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 36.5%