NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GSU APP
Points 67.7 82.2
Total Points   149.9
Points From 2-Pointers 38.3 48.4
Points From 3-Pointers 19.7 19.0
Points From Free Throws 9.7 14.9
Shooting GSU APP
Field Goals Made 25.7 30.5
Field Goals Attempted 69.8 64.0
Field Goal % 36.8% 47.7%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 24.2
2 Pointers Attempted 48.7 43.6
2 Point Shooting % 39.3% 55.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.6 6.3
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.0% 31.0%
Free Throws Made 9.7 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 12.9 21.4
Free Throw % 75.0% 69.5%
Ball Control GSU APP
Rebounds 36.0 46.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 34.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.3 11.6
Turnovers 7.6 8.0
Blocked Shots 2.2 6.4
Steals 4.8 4.5
Fouls 15.0 11.1

Playing Style Advantage: App State

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GSU APP
Total Possessions 73.6
Effective Scoring Chances 76.3 77.2
% of Possessions with GSU APP
2 Point Attempt 56.3% 50.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 23.7%
Player Fouled 15.1% 20.4%
Turnover 10.3% 10.9%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken GSU APP
Shot Blocked 10.1% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.0% 31.1%