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WI-Milwkee at N Kentucky
Sat Jan 28, 2023
4:00pm ET
Highland Heights, KY
WI-Milwkee at N Kentucky: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Northern Kentucky by 6.5, Total Points: 135.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MILW | adv | NKU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-18-0 | 17-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-13-0 | 13-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 7-7-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| Away | 8-11-0 | 10-8-0 |
WI-Milwkee Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Wisconsin-Stout | -- | W by 18 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | Providence | +13.5 | L by 10 | +3.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Colorado | +18.5 | L by 27 | -8.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Luther College | -- | W by 29 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Stetson | -4.0 | L by 18 | -22.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Siena | -11.5 | W by 2 | -9.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | S Mississippi | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | WI-Grn Bay | -3.0 | L by 12 | -15.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | St. Thomas | +5.5 | L by 4 | +1.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | UC Davis | +9.0 | W by 2 | +11.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Longwood | +3.5 | L by 13 | -9.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Chattanooga | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Rob Morris | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Wright St | +4.0 | W by 8 | +12.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Oakland | +4.5 | L by 5 | -0.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Detroit | -8.0 | W by 23 | +15.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Cleveland St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | N Kentucky | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wright St | +8.5 | L by 14 | -5.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Detroit | -12.0 | W by 16 | +4.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Oakland | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 02/01 | Away | IPFW | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | IUPUI | -18.5 | W by 20 | +1.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Youngs St | +8.5 | L by 12 | -3.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Rob Morris | -1.5 | L by 11 | -12.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Cleveland St | +5.0 | W by 3 | +8.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | N Kentucky | -2.5 | W by 1 | -1.5 |
| 02/23 | Home | Youngs St | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | IPFW | -1.0 | W by 8 | +7.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | IUPUI | -12.5 | W by 5 | -7.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -6.5 | W by 21 | +14.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Detroit | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | WI-Grn Bay | (Pick) | W by 11 | +11.0 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | N Kentucky | +2.0 | W by 7 | +9.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Oakland | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
N Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Middle Tenn | +4.5 | L by 17 | -12.5 |
| 11/09 | Away | Washington | +14.5 | L by 8 | +6.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | DePauw | -- | W by 17 | -- |
| 11/19 | Away | Cincinnati | +12.5 | L by 24 | -11.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | TX A&M-CC | -8.0 | W by 15 | +7.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | LIU | -16.5 | W by 8 | -8.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Rob Morris | -8.0 | W by 18 | +10.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | IUPUI | -10.0 | W by 16 | +6.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | Illinois St | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Akron | +3.0 | L by 1 | +2.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | Cumberland (KY) | -- | W by 35 | -- |
| 12/17 | Away | E Kentucky | +3.5 | W by 10 | +13.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | St Marys | +15.5 | L by 36 | -20.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | IPFW | +4.5 | L by 13 | -8.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Youngs St | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Cleveland St | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Oakland | +6.0 | L by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 5 | -4.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | WI-Milwkee | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -5.5 | W by 22 | +16.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | IPFW | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | Youngs St | +6.5 | L by 30 | -23.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Wright St | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Oakland | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Detroit | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | WI-Grn Bay | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | WI-Milwkee | +2.5 | L by 1 | +1.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Cleveland St | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | IUPUI | -17.5 | W by 16 | -1.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Rob Morris | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Wright St | +7.0 | L by 6 | +1.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Wright St | +7.0 | W by 2 | +9.0 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | WI-Milwkee | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| NKU -6.5 | Open | -5.5 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -6.0 | Low | -5.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3230 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Northern Kentucky won the game 2338 times (72.4%).
- The team like Milwaukee won the game 892 times (27.6%).
- The team like Northern Kentucky did better against the spread, going 1590-1583-57 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3417 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Milwaukee did better against the spread, going 1690-1656-71 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -6.0 | -- |
| Open | -5.0 | -5.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/28 03:10 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 02:40 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 02:30 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 01/28 11:51 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/28 10:50 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 11:19 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 08:07 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:38 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 06:58 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
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