NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MILW NKU
Points 80.1 78.8
Total Points   158.9
Points From 2-Pointers 41.6 40.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.5 21.3
Points From Free Throws 15.0 16.8
Shooting MILW NKU
Field Goals Made 28.7 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 61.7 62.7
Field Goal % 46.4% 43.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.8 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 41.0
2 Point Shooting % 58.8% 49.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 26.4 21.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.7% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 15.0 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 20.4 23.0
Free Throw % 73.5% 73.1%
Ball Control MILW NKU
Rebounds 40.7 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 22.6
Rebounds - Offensive 13.4 11.1
Turnovers 13.0 9.7
Blocked Shots 4.7 3.0
Steals 4.8 7.4
Fouls 16.7 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: WI-Milwkee

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MILW NKU
Total Possessions 74.8
Effective Scoring Chances 75.2 76.2
% of Possessions with MILW NKU
2 Point Attempt 39.6% 46.6%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 24.8%
Player Fouled 20.2% 22.3%
Turnover 17.4% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken MILW NKU
Shot Blocked 4.9% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 37.3% 29.0%