NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring FIU FAU
Points 68.6 87.8
Total Points   156.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 43.2
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 26.7
Points From Free Throws 9.2 17.9
Shooting FIU FAU
Field Goals Made 25.6 30.5
Field Goals Attempted 63.6 57.2
Field Goal % 40.3% 53.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 21.6
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 59.7%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 21.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 42.3%
Free Throws Made 9.2 17.9
Free Throws Attempted 14.1 24.7
Free Throw % 65.0% 72.6%
Ball Control FIU FAU
Rebounds 28.1 43.0
Rebounds - Defensive 18.2 30.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.9 12.4
Turnovers 11.7 13.5
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.0
Steals 7.5 6.6
Fouls 16.9 12.9

Playing Style Advantage: Florida Intl

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats FIU FAU
Total Possessions 74.3
Effective Scoring Chances 72.5 73.2
% of Possessions with FIU FAU
2 Point Attempt 44.7% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.8% 23.9%
Player Fouled 17.3% 22.8%
Turnover 15.7% 18.2%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 10.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken FIU FAU
Shot Blocked 5.3% 4.5%
Offensive Rebound 24.4% 40.4%