NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PV RICE
Points 65.0 80.3
Total Points   145.3
Points From 2-Pointers 38.3 40.8
Points From 3-Pointers 14.8 22.7
Points From Free Throws 11.9 16.8
Shooting PV RICE
Field Goals Made 24.1 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 60.7 52.3
Field Goal % 39.7% 53.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 46.0 32.5
2 Point Shooting % 41.7% 62.8%
3 Pointers Made 4.9 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 14.7 19.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 38.3%
Free Throws Made 11.9 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 24.3
Free Throw % 70.5% 69.2%
Ball Control PV RICE
Rebounds 27.7 39.9
Rebounds - Defensive 18.9 30.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.8 9.7
Turnovers 10.0 13.8
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.2
Steals 8.5 5.1
Fouls 16.9 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Rice

Expected Effect: +0.8 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PV RICE
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 67.6
% of Possessions with PV RICE
2 Point Attempt 56.0% 39.3%
3 Point Attempt 17.9% 24.0%
Player Fouled 19.9% 23.5%
Turnover 13.9% 19.3%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 11.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken PV RICE
Shot Blocked 8.1% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 34.0%