NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HP FUR
Points 82.6 79.7
Total Points   162.3
Points From 2-Pointers 42.9 39.2
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 24.5
Points From Free Throws 18.7 16.0
Shooting HP FUR
Field Goals Made 28.4 27.8
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 61.0
Field Goal % 48.0% 45.5%
2 Pointers Made 21.5 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.9 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 56.6% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 21.3 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.7% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 18.7 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 24.0 22.1
Free Throw % 77.9% 72.6%
Ball Control HP FUR
Rebounds 37.9 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.1 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 9.4
Turnovers 9.6 8.4
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.4
Steals 4.6 4.8
Fouls 15.4 17.5

Playing Style Advantage: Furman

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HP FUR
Total Possessions 73.0
Effective Scoring Chances 74.2 74.0
% of Possessions with HP FUR
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 29.5%
Player Fouled 24.0% 21.1%
Turnover 13.2% 11.5%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken HP FUR
Shot Blocked 3.9% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 31.8% 25.6%