NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MILW YSU
Points 76.6 82.1
Total Points   158.7
Points From 2-Pointers 37.8 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 27.9
Points From Free Throws 16.5 16.0
Shooting MILW YSU
Field Goals Made 26.3 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 64.4 68.4
Field Goal % 40.9% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.9 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 41.2 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.9% 48.7%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 23.2 29.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 16.5 16.0
Free Throws Attempted 22.5 21.2
Free Throw % 73.5% 75.3%
Ball Control MILW YSU
Rebounds 41.0 42.2
Rebounds - Defensive 28.1 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 14.5
Turnovers 10.7 8.3
Blocked Shots 3.9 6.7
Steals 4.3 5.4
Fouls 16.0 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Youngs St

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MILW YSU
Total Possessions 75.1
Effective Scoring Chances 77.3 81.2
% of Possessions with MILW YSU
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 31.9%
Player Fouled 21.3% 21.3%
Turnover 14.2% 11.1%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 5.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken MILW YSU
Shot Blocked 9.9% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 31.8% 34.0%