NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EIU WIGB
Points 66.4 73.3
Total Points   139.7
Points From 2-Pointers 39.4 32.4
Points From 3-Pointers 14.3 27.2
Points From Free Throws 12.7 13.6
Shooting EIU WIGB
Field Goals Made 24.4 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 51.3
Field Goal % 42.0% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 41.7 26.2
2 Point Shooting % 47.1% 61.8%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 16.4 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 29.1% 36.2%
Free Throws Made 12.7 13.6
Free Throws Attempted 17.3 19.0
Free Throw % 73.7% 71.5%
Ball Control EIU WIGB
Rebounds 30.9 34.1
Rebounds - Defensive 22.0 27.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 6.9
Turnovers 7.6 11.7
Blocked Shots 4.2 2.3
Steals 6.4 3.5
Fouls 16.5 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: E Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EIU WIGB
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 62.5
% of Possessions with EIU WIGB
2 Point Attempt 54.1% 34.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.3% 33.1%
Player Fouled 20.4% 24.5%
Turnover 11.3% 17.4%
Opponent Steal 5.1% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken EIU WIGB
Shot Blocked 4.6% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 23.8%