NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HP ELON
Points 84.1 70.2
Total Points   154.4
Points From 2-Pointers 39.8 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 26.5 20.6
Points From Free Throws 17.8 15.9
Shooting HP ELON
Field Goals Made 28.8 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 55.9
Field Goal % 48.0% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.4 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 57.9% 47.4%
3 Pointers Made 8.8 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 33.8%
Free Throws Made 17.8 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 23.1
Free Throw % 77.9% 68.8%
Ball Control HP ELON
Rebounds 41.0 29.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 20.2
Rebounds - Offensive 13.9 9.0
Turnovers 9.2 9.2
Blocked Shots 3.5 1.9
Steals 4.6 4.5
Fouls 16.4 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Elon

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HP ELON
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 74.6 69.6
% of Possessions with HP ELON
2 Point Attempt 40.7% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 25.4%
Player Fouled 23.1% 23.5%
Turnover 13.1% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 6.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken HP ELON
Shot Blocked 3.5% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 40.7% 24.9%