NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNI EVAN
Points 72.5 66.4
Total Points   138.9
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 21.4
Points From Free Throws 15.2 10.9
Shooting UNI EVAN
Field Goals Made 24.8 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 54.9
Field Goal % 45.3% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.2% 50.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 34.3%
Free Throws Made 15.2 10.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 15.6
Free Throw % 70.8% 69.9%
Ball Control UNI EVAN
Rebounds 34.9 31.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 5.9
Turnovers 9.6 11.2
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.7
Steals 6.8 5.7
Fouls 14.8 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Evansville

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNI EVAN
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 64.2
% of Possessions with UNI EVAN
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 44.5%
3 Point Attempt 28.3% 27.2%
Player Fouled 22.8% 21.3%
Turnover 13.8% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNI EVAN
Shot Blocked 5.0% 4.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 17.7%