NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNI L-IL
Points 66.7 70.2
Total Points   136.9
Points From 2-Pointers 31.2 32.9
Points From 3-Pointers 17.7 24.8
Points From Free Throws 17.8 12.4
Shooting UNI L-IL
Field Goals Made 21.5 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 52.7 54.6
Field Goal % 40.8% 45.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.7 31.1
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 52.9%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 8.3
3 Pointers Attempted 17.9 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 32.9% 35.3%
Free Throws Made 17.8 12.4
Free Throws Attempted 25.2 18.4
Free Throw % 70.8% 67.6%
Ball Control UNI L-IL
Rebounds 32.9 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 7.1
Turnovers 10.2 11.8
Blocked Shots 3.3 4.8
Steals 6.3 6.5
Fouls 16.1 19.5

Playing Style Advantage: N Iowa

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNI L-IL
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 65.6
% of Possessions with UNI L-IL
2 Point Attempt 43.9% 39.5%
3 Point Attempt 22.7% 29.8%
Player Fouled 27.7% 22.9%
Turnover 14.5% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNI L-IL
Shot Blocked 9.0% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 21.6%