NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EIU TTU
Points 61.1 84.0
Total Points   145.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 16.0 27.1
Points From Free Throws 9.7 18.0
Shooting EIU TTU
Field Goals Made 23.0 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 53.2
Field Goal % 38.1% 53.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 42.3 30.8
2 Point Shooting % 41.8% 63.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 9.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 22.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 40.2%
Free Throws Made 9.7 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 13.1 23.0
Free Throw % 73.7% 78.5%
Ball Control EIU TTU
Rebounds 28.5 38.0
Rebounds - Defensive 18.8 29.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 8.7
Turnovers 9.6 10.0
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.1
Steals 5.5 5.0
Fouls 17.4 11.2

Playing Style Advantage: E Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EIU TTU
Total Possessions 68.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 67.2
% of Possessions with EIU TTU
2 Point Attempt 53.3% 39.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 28.7%
Player Fouled 16.4% 25.4%
Turnover 14.1% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken EIU TTU
Shot Blocked 5.9% 4.8%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 31.6%