NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNI ILST
Points 69.1 64.5
Total Points   133.5
Points From 2-Pointers 35.8 32.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.0 18.6
Points From Free Throws 13.3 13.2
Shooting UNI ILST
Field Goals Made 24.6 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 53.6 52.6
Field Goal % 45.9% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.9% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.7 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.9 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 29.6%
Free Throws Made 13.3 13.2
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 18.0
Free Throw % 70.8% 73.0%
Ball Control UNI ILST
Rebounds 32.3 32.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 7.2 7.6
Turnovers 8.5 10.2
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.1
Steals 5.0 4.8
Fouls 16.1 15.7

Playing Style Advantage: N Iowa

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNI ILST
Total Possessions 66.2
Effective Scoring Chances 64.9 63.6
% of Possessions with UNI ILST
2 Point Attempt 44.0% 42.3%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 27.9%
Player Fouled 23.8% 24.3%
Turnover 12.9% 15.4%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNI ILST
Shot Blocked 4.0% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 23.2%