NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EIU SEMO
Points 70.9 67.3
Total Points   138.1
Points From 2-Pointers 42.4 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 12.4 17.1
Points From Free Throws 16.0 12.0
Shooting EIU SEMO
Field Goals Made 25.4 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 55.7
Field Goal % 44.4% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 43.0 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 51.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.1 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 14.2 18.2
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 16.0 12.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 17.0
Free Throw % 73.7% 70.6%
Ball Control EIU SEMO
Rebounds 34.8 33.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.3 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 8.2
Turnovers 9.2 12.1
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.9
Steals 7.2 4.1
Fouls 15.7 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: E Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EIU SEMO
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.3 66.2
% of Possessions with EIU SEMO
2 Point Attempt 53.3% 47.0%
3 Point Attempt 17.6% 22.9%
Player Fouled 22.5% 22.4%
Turnover 13.2% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 5.8% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken EIU SEMO
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.0% 24.4%