NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNI SIU
Points 70.1 69.9
Total Points   140.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.2 30.1
Points From 3-Pointers 13.4 25.6
Points From Free Throws 17.5 14.3
Shooting UNI SIU
Field Goals Made 24.0 23.6
Field Goals Attempted 50.9 52.6
Field Goal % 47.2% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.6 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 27.7
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 54.3%
3 Pointers Made 4.5 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 14.4 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 17.5 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 24.7 18.5
Free Throw % 70.8% 77.2%
Ball Control UNI SIU
Rebounds 31.4 30.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.8 24.4
Rebounds - Offensive 6.6 6.4
Turnovers 8.8 10.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.9
Steals 5.6 4.8
Fouls 16.3 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: N Iowa

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNI SIU
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 65.5 63.6
% of Possessions with UNI SIU
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 36.7%
3 Point Attempt 19.1% 33.0%
Player Fouled 27.5% 24.1%
Turnover 13.0% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNI SIU
Shot Blocked 5.5% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 21.2% 20.6%