NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EIU UTM
Points 72.2 80.6
Total Points   152.8
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 37.5
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 26.4
Points From Free Throws 10.6 16.7
Shooting EIU UTM
Field Goals Made 27.3 27.5
Field Goals Attempted 66.9 57.6
Field Goal % 40.7% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 44.1 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 45.7% 53.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.1% 38.6%
Free Throws Made 10.6 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.4 22.1
Free Throw % 73.7% 75.6%
Ball Control EIU UTM
Rebounds 34.0 40.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 32.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 8.2
Turnovers 7.1 10.7
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.1
Steals 6.5 4.0
Fouls 16.6 11.5

Playing Style Advantage: TN Martin

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EIU UTM
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 75.3 70.6
% of Possessions with EIU UTM
2 Point Attempt 52.7% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 27.5%
Player Fouled 15.7% 22.8%
Turnover 9.8% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 5.5% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken EIU UTM
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 25.0%