NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PV ASU
Points 60.5 81.0
Total Points   141.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.2 43.3
Points From 3-Pointers 12.2 19.5
Points From Free Throws 14.1 18.3
Shooting PV ASU
Field Goals Made 21.2 28.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 52.6
Field Goal % 37.3% 53.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 21.6
2 Pointers Attempted 42.5 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 40.2% 64.5%
3 Pointers Made 4.1 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 14.2 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 28.8% 34.2%
Free Throws Made 14.1 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 28.0
Free Throw % 70.5% 65.3%
Ball Control PV ASU
Rebounds 29.6 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 21.8 30.5
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 8.6
Turnovers 13.3 12.4
Blocked Shots 1.8 4.8
Steals 6.8 7.8
Fouls 18.5 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: Arizona St

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PV ASU
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 70.0
% of Possessions with PV ASU
2 Point Attempt 50.8% 40.3%
3 Point Attempt 16.9% 22.9%
Player Fouled 21.8% 25.1%
Turnover 18.1% 16.8%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 9.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken PV ASU
Shot Blocked 9.3% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.4% 28.3%