NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PV GRAM
Points 63.9 72.2
Total Points   136.0
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 11.5 14.5
Points From Free Throws 14.9 18.1
Shooting PV GRAM
Field Goals Made 22.5 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 48.9
Field Goal % 40.3% 50.4%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 42.8 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 43.7% 54.0%
3 Pointers Made 3.8 4.8
3 Pointers Attempted 13.2 12.2
3 Point Shooting % 29.1% 39.6%
Free Throws Made 14.9 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.1 25.5
Free Throw % 70.5% 70.7%
Ball Control PV GRAM
Rebounds 28.9 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 19.4 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 9.3
Turnovers 11.5 15.0
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.5
Steals 7.9 6.4
Fouls 16.1 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Prairie View

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PV GRAM
Total Possessions 70.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 65.2
% of Possessions with PV GRAM
2 Point Attempt 52.2% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 16.1% 15.1%
Player Fouled 22.5% 22.8%
Turnover 16.3% 21.2%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 11.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken PV GRAM
Shot Blocked 7.3% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.0% 32.4%