NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PV JKST
Points 69.9 76.0
Total Points   146.0
Points From 2-Pointers 40.6 40.2
Points From 3-Pointers 14.4 18.0
Points From Free Throws 15.0 17.8
Shooting PV JKST
Field Goals Made 25.1 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 55.2
Field Goal % 44.1% 47.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.3 20.1
2 Pointers Attempted 41.9 38.5
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 52.3%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 15.0 16.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 36.0%
Free Throws Made 15.0 17.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 24.7
Free Throw % 70.5% 71.9%
Ball Control PV JKST
Rebounds 29.0 39.2
Rebounds - Defensive 20.1 26.3
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 12.9
Turnovers 12.2 14.6
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.8
Steals 7.9 6.8
Fouls 16.2 16.2

Playing Style Advantage: Jackson St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PV JKST
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 71.4
% of Possessions with PV JKST
2 Point Attempt 50.2% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 17.9% 19.1%
Player Fouled 22.1% 22.2%
Turnover 16.7% 20.0%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 10.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken PV JKST
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.3% 39.1%