NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EIU MIZZ
Points 63.9 78.5
Total Points   142.4
Points From 2-Pointers 31.3 39.5
Points From 3-Pointers 17.9 21.6
Points From Free Throws 14.7 17.4
Shooting EIU MIZZ
Field Goals Made 21.6 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 58.4 52.1
Field Goal % 37.0% 51.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 31.4
2 Point Shooting % 39.4% 62.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.7 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.9% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 14.7 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 22.0
Free Throw % 73.7% 78.9%
Ball Control EIU MIZZ
Rebounds 31.5 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 20.2 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.2 7.5
Turnovers 10.6 11.3
Blocked Shots 2.4 5.9
Steals 6.3 6.0
Fouls 18.1 14.7

Playing Style Advantage: E Illinois

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EIU MIZZ
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 65.6
% of Possessions with EIU MIZZ
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 40.3%
3 Point Attempt 22.6% 26.6%
Player Fouled 21.1% 26.1%
Turnover 15.3% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 8.7% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken EIU MIZZ
Shot Blocked 11.4% 4.3%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 27.1%