NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring PITT CLEM
Points 70.3 71.3
Total Points   141.6
Points From 2-Pointers 27.4 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 29.5 22.0
Points From Free Throws 13.4 13.7
Shooting PITT CLEM
Field Goals Made 23.6 25.1
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 55.7
Field Goal % 39.0% 45.0%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 31.2 32.6
2 Point Shooting % 44.0% 54.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 29.3 23.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 31.7%
Free Throws Made 13.4 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 17.7
Free Throw % 73.0% 77.8%
Ball Control PITT CLEM
Rebounds 35.3 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 29.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 6.9
Turnovers 6.5 8.9
Blocked Shots 3.0 3.1
Steals 5.3 3.2
Fouls 13.9 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: Clemson

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats PITT CLEM
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 66.1
% of Possessions with PITT CLEM
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 42.8%
3 Point Attempt 37.1% 30.4%
Player Fouled 20.8% 20.4%
Turnover 9.6% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 4.7% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken PITT CLEM
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 21.3%