NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HP DAV
Points 73.2 74.6
Total Points   147.8
Points From 2-Pointers 31.9 40.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.6 17.6
Points From Free Throws 19.7 16.9
Shooting HP DAV
Field Goals Made 23.1 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 56.1 56.5
Field Goal % 41.3% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.0 20.0
2 Pointers Attempted 32.7 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 53.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.4 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.8% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 19.7 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 25.3 23.0
Free Throw % 77.9% 73.6%
Ball Control HP DAV
Rebounds 37.7 32.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 8.1
Turnovers 10.2 8.1
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.5
Steals 4.5 4.9
Fouls 17.1 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Davidson

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HP DAV
Total Possessions 70.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 70.1
% of Possessions with HP DAV
2 Point Attempt 39.3% 47.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 23.6%
Player Fouled 24.7% 24.4%
Turnover 14.6% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken HP DAV
Shot Blocked 6.3% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 32.9% 23.9%