NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring EIU NW
Points 60.2 82.1
Total Points   142.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.0 39.4
Points From 3-Pointers 15.5 26.3
Points From Free Throws 11.7 16.4
Shooting EIU NW
Field Goals Made 21.7 28.5
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 53.2
Field Goal % 39.5% 53.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.5 19.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.5 33.0
2 Point Shooting % 42.8% 59.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 16.3 20.1
3 Point Shooting % 31.8% 43.6%
Free Throws Made 11.7 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.8 21.7
Free Throw % 73.7% 75.6%
Ball Control EIU NW
Rebounds 27.4 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 20.5 28.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 7.2
Turnovers 10.4 8.6
Blocked Shots 3.1 4.4
Steals 5.2 5.8
Fouls 18.2 12.6

Playing Style Advantage: E Illinois

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats EIU NW
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 63.8 65.9
% of Possessions with EIU NW
2 Point Attempt 50.7% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.4% 26.5%
Player Fouled 18.8% 27.0%
Turnover 15.5% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken EIU NW
Shot Blocked 8.5% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 19.9% 25.9%