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Pittsburgh at Northwestern
Mon Nov 28, 2022
9:00pm ET
Evanston, IL
Pittsburgh at Northwestern: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Northwestern by 7.5, Total Points: 128
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | PITT | adv | NW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-9-3 | 18-14-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-6-2 | 13-8-0 | |
| Streak | W5 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-1-1 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 11-6-1 | 9-7-1 | |
| Away | 10-3-2 | 9-7-1 |
Pittsburgh Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | NC A&T | -23.5 | W by 48 | +24.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Binghamton | -17.5 | W by 29 | +11.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -10.0 | W by 12 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Jacksonville | -16.0 | W by 51 | +35.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Florida | +5.0 | L by 15 | -10.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Oregon St | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Missouri | -7.0 | L by 7 | -14.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Clemson | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | W Virginia | -3.5 | W by 17 | +13.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Canisius | -17.5 | W by 11 | -6.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | S Car State | -28.5 | W by 36 | +7.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | IPFW | -14.0 | W by 14 | 0.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Syracuse | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 13 | -9.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Louisville | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Duke | +5.0 | L by 22 | -17.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Syracuse | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Duke | +12.5 | W by 4 | +16.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | GA Tech | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Miami | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Notre Dame | -9.0 | W by 10 | +1.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | NC State | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Virginia | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Louisville | -12.5 | W by 27 | +14.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | Wake Forest | +6.0 | L by 33 | -27.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | VA Tech | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Clemson | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Boston Col | -1.5 | W by 25 | +23.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Florida St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | NC State | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Wake Forest | +2.0 | W by 12 | +14.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | N Carolina | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Binghamton | -17.5 | W by 11 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Dayton | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | W Michigan | -23.5 | W by 4 | -19.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Rhode Island | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Miss State | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | N Illinois | -13.5 | W by 22 | +8.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Purdue | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Detroit | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Chicago St | -24.5 | L by 2 | -26.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | DePaul | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 19 | +15.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Jackson St | -18.0 | W by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Illinois | +5.5 | L by 30 | -24.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | W by 14 | +17.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Penn St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wisconsin | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Maryland | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Nebraska | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Illinois | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 25 | +22.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Purdue | +14.0 | L by 9 | +5.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Minnesota | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Nebraska | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Penn St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Rutgers | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Michigan | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Maryland | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Iowa | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Michigan St | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Wisconsin | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Connecticut | +13.5 | L by 17 | -3.5 |
| NW -7.5 | Open | -8.5 | High | -9.5 |
| Last | -6.5 | Low | -6.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2645 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Northwestern won the game 2020 times (76.4%).
- The team like Pittsburgh won the game 625 times (23.6%).
- The team like Northwestern did better against the spread, going 1300-1298-47 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2894 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Northwestern did better against the spread, going 1420-1413-61 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -7.0 | -- |
| Open | -8.5 | -9.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/28 09:01 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/28 08:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/28 08:05 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 07:40 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 07:16 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 06:19 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 06:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/28 05:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/28 05:10 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 04:49 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 02:49 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 12:55 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 12:28 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 12:05 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 10:10 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 09:26 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 09:14 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 11/28 09:04 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 11/28 09:01 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:13 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 07:55 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 11:24 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 11/27 11:04 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 10:34 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 09:31 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 08:43 PM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 11/27 05:19 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 03:13 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
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