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Pittsburgh at NC State
Sun Feb 28, 2021
4:00pm ET
Raleigh, NC
Pittsburgh at NC State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: NC State by 7, Total Points: 138
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | PITT | adv | NCST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-9-3 | 20-20-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-6-2 | 13-12-1 | |
| Streak | W5 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-1-1 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 11-6-1 | 8-9-0 | |
| Away | 10-3-2 | 12-11-1 |
Pittsburgh Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | NC A&T | -23.5 | W by 48 | +24.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Binghamton | -17.5 | W by 29 | +11.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -10.0 | W by 12 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Jacksonville | -16.0 | W by 51 | +35.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Florida | +5.0 | L by 15 | -10.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Oregon St | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Missouri | -7.0 | L by 7 | -14.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Clemson | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | W Virginia | -3.5 | W by 17 | +13.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Canisius | -17.5 | W by 11 | -6.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | S Car State | -28.5 | W by 36 | +7.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | IPFW | -14.0 | W by 14 | 0.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Syracuse | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 13 | -9.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Louisville | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Duke | +5.0 | L by 22 | -17.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Syracuse | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Duke | +12.5 | W by 4 | +16.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | GA Tech | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Miami | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Notre Dame | -9.0 | W by 10 | +1.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | NC State | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Virginia | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Louisville | -12.5 | W by 27 | +14.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | Wake Forest | +6.0 | L by 33 | -27.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | VA Tech | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Clemson | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Boston Col | -1.5 | W by 25 | +23.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Florida St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | NC State | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Wake Forest | +2.0 | W by 12 | +14.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | N Carolina | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
NC State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Citadel | -21.0 | W by 13 | -8.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Abl Christian | -10.5 | W by 20 | +9.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Charl South | -24.5 | W by 34 | +9.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | BYU | +6.5 | L by 9 | -2.5 |
| 11/28 | Away | Mississippi | +2.0 | L by 20 | -18.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Boston Col | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Maryland ES | -26.5 | W by 32 | +5.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | TN Martin | -19.5 | W by 14 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Saint Louis | -11.5 | W by 12 | +0.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | Detroit | -23.0 | W by 17 | -6.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Notre Dame | -5.0 | W by 2 | -3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Virginia | -1.0 | W by 16 | +15.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | N Carolina | +3.0 | L by 13 | -10.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Louisville | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | VA Tech | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Virginia | +6.0 | L by 6 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Syracuse | -1.0 | L by 12 | -13.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Miami | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | GA Tech | -8.0 | W by 6 | -2.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Pittsburgh | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Wake Forest | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Clemson | +8.0 | W by 1 | +9.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Syracuse | -6.0 | L by 4 | -10.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Boston Col | -5.0 | W by 11 | +6.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Florida St | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | N Carolina | +11.0 | L by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/04 | Home | Duke | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Pittsburgh | +6.5 | L by 8 | -1.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Louisville | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Syracuse | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Duke | +11.0 | W by 5 | +16.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Virginia | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | N Carolina | +10.0 | W by 8 | +18.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Texas Tech | +5.0 | W by 13 | +18.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Oakland | -6.5 | W by 6 | -0.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Marquette | +7.5 | W by 9 | +16.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | Duke | +7.0 | W by 12 | +19.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Purdue | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| NCST -7.0 | Open | -6.5 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | -6.5 | Low | -5.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2873 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6 to 8 points. In these games:
- The team like NC State won the game 2149 times (74.8%).
- The team like Pittsburgh won the game 724 times (25.2%).
- The team like NC State did better against the spread, going 1416-1383-74 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 471 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Pittsburgh did better against the spread, going 242-227-2 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.0 | -7.0 | -6.5 |
| Open | -6.0 | -6.0 | -6.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/28 03:59 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 03:44 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 03:25 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 02/28 01:35 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 01:14 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 01:05 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 12:35 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 12:08 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 11:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 02/28 11:34 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 02/28 11:32 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 11:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 02/28 10:47 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 10:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 02/28 10:15 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 02/28 09:35 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 02/28 09:05 AM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 02/28 08:50 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 08:15 AM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 02/28 08:14 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 02/28 07:59 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/28 07:14 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 02/28 01:17 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 11:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 02/27 11:15 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 02/27 10:05 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 02/27 09:54 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 02/27 09:53 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 08:54 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 02/27 08:44 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 02/27 08:32 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/27 07:54 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 02/27 07:41 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
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