NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GMU DUQ
Points 63.7 64.3
Total Points   128.0
Points From 2-Pointers 32.2 28.7
Points From 3-Pointers 16.4 23.1
Points From Free Throws 15.1 12.5
Shooting GMU DUQ
Field Goals Made 21.6 22.1
Field Goals Attempted 50.3 54.2
Field Goal % 42.9% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 14.3
2 Pointers Attempted 32.3 31.4
2 Point Shooting % 49.9% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 5.5 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 22.8
3 Point Shooting % 30.5% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 15.1 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 17.1
Free Throw % 74.1% 73.4%
Ball Control GMU DUQ
Rebounds 34.2 31.5
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 22.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 9.5
Turnovers 12.2 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.1 5.0
Steals 5.2 7.2
Fouls 14.8 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Duquesne

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GMU DUQ
Total Possessions 65.4
Effective Scoring Chances 62.5 64.8
% of Possessions with GMU DUQ
2 Point Attempt 42.1% 41.3%
3 Point Attempt 23.5% 29.9%
Player Fouled 24.3% 22.6%
Turnover 18.6% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken GMU DUQ
Shot Blocked 9.3% 6.3%
Offensive Rebound 29.6% 27.6%