NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GMU L-IL
Points 64.8 65.8
Total Points   130.6
Points From 2-Pointers 30.6 28.2
Points From 3-Pointers 17.4 25.1
Points From Free Throws 16.8 12.5
Shooting GMU L-IL
Field Goals Made 21.1 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 51.4 54.3
Field Goal % 41.1% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.3 14.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.8 30.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.3% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 24.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 34.8%
Free Throws Made 16.8 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.6 18.5
Free Throw % 74.1% 67.6%
Ball Control GMU L-IL
Rebounds 34.7 33.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 8.9
Turnovers 11.9 11.1
Blocked Shots 3.7 5.6
Steals 5.4 6.9
Fouls 15.7 18.7

Playing Style Advantage: Loyola-Chi

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GMU L-IL
Total Possessions 67.9
Effective Scoring Chances 64.5 65.6
% of Possessions with GMU L-IL
2 Point Attempt 42.9% 38.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 30.7%
Player Fouled 27.5% 23.1%
Turnover 17.5% 16.4%
Opponent Steal 10.2% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken GMU L-IL
Shot Blocked 10.4% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 25.7% 25.3%