NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SPU QUIN
Points 65.8 68.8
Total Points   134.5
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 34.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.9 17.9
Points From Free Throws 15.8 16.7
Shooting SPU QUIN
Field Goals Made 21.8 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 55.9
Field Goal % 38.9% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.2 37.4
2 Point Shooting % 40.6% 45.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 17.8 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 15.8 16.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.2 21.5
Free Throw % 71.3% 77.5%
Ball Control SPU QUIN
Rebounds 36.1 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.1 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 10.8
Turnovers 11.4 11.6
Blocked Shots 5.6 3.8
Steals 5.9 6.1
Fouls 15.3 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: St Peters

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SPU QUIN
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 69.9 68.6
% of Possessions with SPU QUIN
2 Point Attempt 46.1% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 21.5% 22.4%
Player Fouled 23.1% 22.1%
Turnover 16.4% 16.7%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SPU QUIN
Shot Blocked 6.9% 10.1%
Offensive Rebound 31.8% 30.9%