NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SPU QUIN
Points 65.9 68.7
Total Points   134.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.6 34.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.8 18.0
Points From Free Throws 15.5 16.5
Shooting SPU QUIN
Field Goals Made 22.1 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 55.8
Field Goal % 39.1% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 15.8 17.1
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 41.2% 45.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.3 6.0
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 18.5
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 15.5 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 21.6
Free Throw % 71.2% 76.5%
Ball Control SPU QUIN
Rebounds 35.9 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 23.9 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 12.0 11.1
Turnovers 11.3 11.8
Blocked Shots 5.6 3.8
Steals 6.0 6.1
Fouls 15.5 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: St Peters

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SPU QUIN
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 68.7
% of Possessions with SPU QUIN
2 Point Attempt 46.3% 45.1%
3 Point Attempt 21.8% 22.3%
Player Fouled 23.0% 22.4%
Turnover 16.3% 17.0%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SPU QUIN
Shot Blocked 6.9% 10.0%
Offensive Rebound 31.9% 31.8%