NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SPU RID
Points 65.4 64.9
Total Points   130.3
Points From 2-Pointers 29.5 32.9
Points From 3-Pointers 17.8 13.9
Points From Free Throws 18.1 18.1
Shooting SPU RID
Field Goals Made 20.7 21.1
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 51.9
Field Goal % 37.6% 40.6%
2 Pointers Made 14.8 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 37.8
2 Point Shooting % 39.1% 43.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.9 4.6
3 Pointers Attempted 17.3 14.1
3 Point Shooting % 34.2% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 18.1 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 25.4 23.7
Free Throw % 71.2% 76.3%
Ball Control SPU RID
Rebounds 36.2 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.8 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 12.4 9.8
Turnovers 9.9 11.8
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.2
Steals 6.4 5.1
Fouls 17.5 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: St Peters

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SPU RID
Total Possessions 68.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 66.1
% of Possessions with SPU RID
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 47.3%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 17.7%
Player Fouled 24.7% 25.7%
Turnover 14.6% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken SPU RID
Shot Blocked 8.2% 9.2%
Offensive Rebound 32.4% 29.1%