NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SPU CAN
Points 63.9 61.6
Total Points   125.5
Points From 2-Pointers 33.5 33.2
Points From 3-Pointers 16.2 17.0
Points From Free Throws 14.3 11.4
Shooting SPU CAN
Field Goals Made 22.1 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 54.5
Field Goal % 39.4% 40.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 16.6
2 Pointers Attempted 40.8 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 41.1% 46.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.4 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 15.4 18.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.9% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 14.3 11.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 19.0
Free Throw % 71.2% 59.8%
Ball Control SPU CAN
Rebounds 35.6 37.8
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 11.9
Turnovers 10.1 12.6
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.0
Steals 5.8 4.7
Fouls 15.1 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Canisius

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SPU CAN
Total Possessions 67.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.4 66.8
% of Possessions with SPU CAN
2 Point Attempt 50.9% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 19.2% 23.2%
Player Fouled 23.6% 22.4%
Turnover 15.0% 18.7%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken SPU CAN
Shot Blocked 7.5% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 30.0% 32.8%