NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring SPU SIE
Points 66.6 55.9
Total Points   122.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.7 27.9
Points From 3-Pointers 17.5 14.0
Points From Free Throws 15.4 14.0
Shooting SPU SIE
Field Goals Made 22.7 18.6
Field Goals Attempted 57.4 49.4
Field Goal % 39.5% 37.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 14.0
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 32.7
2 Point Shooting % 41.8% 42.7%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 4.7
3 Pointers Attempted 17.1 16.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 27.9%
Free Throws Made 15.4 14.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.6 20.3
Free Throw % 71.2% 68.7%
Ball Control SPU SIE
Rebounds 36.2 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.3 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 12.9 10.6
Turnovers 8.8 14.9
Blocked Shots 5.3 4.0
Steals 7.8 4.1
Fouls 16.2 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: St Peters

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats SPU SIE
Total Possessions 66.5
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 62.3
% of Possessions with SPU SIE
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 41.2%
3 Point Attempt 21.1% 21.1%
Player Fouled 23.1% 24.4%
Turnover 13.2% 22.4%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 11.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken SPU SIE
Shot Blocked 8.3% 9.4%
Offensive Rebound 33.9% 31.3%