NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YSU OAK
Points 74.8 75.9
Total Points   150.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 32.9
Points From 3-Pointers 29.3 28.4
Points From Free Throws 12.3 14.7
Shooting YSU OAK
Field Goals Made 26.4 25.9
Field Goals Attempted 65.5 62.2
Field Goal % 40.2% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 16.4
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 44.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.8 9.5
3 Pointers Attempted 30.9 25.3
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 37.3%
Free Throws Made 12.3 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 16.4 19.2
Free Throw % 75.3% 76.4%
Ball Control YSU OAK
Rebounds 40.7 38.9
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.7 10.4
Turnovers 9.1 9.2
Blocked Shots 4.4 2.8
Steals 4.7 5.5
Fouls 14.9 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: Oakland

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YSU OAK
Total Possessions 72.2
Effective Scoring Chances 75.9 73.5
% of Possessions with YSU OAK
2 Point Attempt 40.2% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 35.9% 30.0%
Player Fouled 18.7% 20.6%
Turnover 12.5% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 6.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken YSU OAK
Shot Blocked 4.5% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.9% 27.2%