NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring YSU NKU
Points 78.1 72.1
Total Points   150.2
Points From 2-Pointers 37.0 37.0
Points From 3-Pointers 28.1 20.2
Points From Free Throws 12.9 15.0
Shooting YSU NKU
Field Goals Made 27.9 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 64.4 61.0
Field Goal % 43.3% 41.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.5 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.1 40.6
2 Point Shooting % 55.9% 45.5%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 31.3 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 12.9 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 17.2 20.5
Free Throw % 75.3% 73.1%
Ball Control YSU NKU
Rebounds 42.1 35.2
Rebounds - Defensive 28.8 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.2 9.5
Turnovers 11.1 10.6
Blocked Shots 5.4 2.0
Steals 5.4 6.6
Fouls 15.7 14.3

Playing Style Advantage: Youngs St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats YSU NKU
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 76.0 72.7
% of Possessions with YSU NKU
2 Point Attempt 37.7% 47.5%
3 Point Attempt 35.6% 23.9%
Player Fouled 19.4% 21.3%
Turnover 15.0% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 9.0% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken YSU NKU
Shot Blocked 3.4% 8.5%
Offensive Rebound 34.0% 24.8%